12 years to save the world? No, the real climate deadline is the end of 2020 | Opinion | Eco-Business | Asia Pacific


Humanity has 12 years to dramatically rein in carbon emissions to prevent the worst effects of climate change, as outlined by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC) sobering report last year.

But the real climate deadline is just 18 months from now.

That is the assessment made by a number of climate scientists and world leaders, who point to 2020 as the year that major policy changes are needed to bring in much deeper carbon cuts.

At the current emissions trajectory—which saw a new record for carbon-dioxide discharge made in 2018—global temperatures are set to increase by 3 degrees Celsius by 2100. This will mean a catastrophic increase in sea level, extreme weather, floods, drought, and crop failure, with Southeast Asia expected to be the hardest hit by the effects of climate change.

The climate math is brutally clear: While the world can’t be healed within the next few years, it may be fatally wounded by negligence until 2020.

Hans Joachim Schellnhuber, director emeritus, Potsdam Climate Institute

The Prince of Wales, the United Kingdom’s second in line to the throne, said at a reception for Commonwealth Foreign Ministers earlier this month, that the next 18 months would “decide our ability to keep climate change to survivable levels and to restore nature to the equilibrium we need for our survival.”

Prince Charles’ comments came just over a year after scientist Hans Joachim Schellnhuber, founder and now director emeritus of the Potsdam Climate Institute, proclaimed: “The climate math is brutally clear: While the world can’t be healed within the next few years, it may be fatally wounded by negligence until 2020.”

While the landmark Paris Agreement of 2015 set out plans for countries to cut carbon emissions by 45 per cent by 2030, part of the deal was for countries to significantly harden their carbon reduction targets by the end of 2020.

2020 is the year by which global emissions must peak if the world stands a chance of limiting global warming to the Paris target of 1.5 degrees Celsius—a temperature increase deemed by scientists to be relatively safe—according to the IPCC report.

So much hangs on the outcome of key climate meetings coming up over the next 18 months, including a special climate summit called by United Nations Secretary General Antonio Guterres to be held on Sept 23, the COP25 (or the 25th Conference of the Parties) meeting in Chile in December 2019, and COP26 in the UK at the end of 2020.

Without Asia’s support, climate targets will be missed

Observers worry that progress made at the climate talks may be stymied by the United States’ planned withdrawal from the Paris Agreement in 2020—which will surely go ahead if climate denier president Donald Trump wins the next election in November 2020—and opposition to the IPCC climate report being discussed at UN talks by the US, Russia, Saudi Arabia, and Kuwait.

But even if the US commits to the Paris Agreement and blocks to the IPCC report are removed, the fight against climate change will be won or lost in Asia.

Last year’s emissions record was a result of increased coal burning—the single biggest source of greenhouse gas emissions—in India and China, which offset declines in emissions in Europe and the US.

China has led the world in renewable energy adoption, but the world’s biggest carbon emitter has a plan to dramatically increase production of coal to fuel its economy that could compromise global decarbonisation goals.

India, the world’s third biggest and fastest growing carbon emitter, also has plans to increase the deployment of renewable energy, but coal-based energy demand to expand the world’s fastest growing economy will also push global carbon targets to the limit.

Meanwhile in Southeast Asia, the only region in the world where coal is gaining share in the energy mix, Indonesia plans to double coal use by 2025 and Vietnam aims to increase the fossil fuel’s share of the energy market from 33 per cent to 56 per cent by 2030.

“The depressing thing is that Asean [the Association of Southeast Asian Nations] is so business-as-usual [on its energy journey],” said Athena Ronquillo-Ballesteros, Asia climate finance director of Groswald Family Fund, in a recent interview with Eco-Business.

For this region—which has been less influenced by the rise of climate movement Extinction Rebellion and Swedish school striker Greta Thunberg—to meet global climate goals, a strong business case for a transition to clean energy is needed to unlock policy and regulatory hurdles, said Ronquillo-Ballesteros, whose fund is focused on driving the region’s shift away from fossil fuels.

One hopeful piece of news from Southeast Asia came a fortnight ago, when Indonesia’s President Joko Widodo said that the country—the largest energy consumer in Southeast Asia and one of the world’s biggest users of coal—would “start reducing the use of coal,” despite having 39 coal-fired plants under construction and 68 more in the pipeline. 

Jokowi, who has just won a second term in office following a general election in May, shows how quickly politics in Asia can change the world’s climate story. 

Thanks for reading to the end of this story!

We would be grateful if you would consider joining as a member of The EB Circle. This helps to keep our stories and resources free for all, and it also supports independent journalism dedicated to sustainable development. For a small donation of S$60 a year, your help would make such a big difference.

EU signs new trade deal with Vietnam, as Hanoi benefits amid trade war

Previous article

Why the fight against climate change will never be won with capitalism | Opinion | Eco-Business | Asia Pacific

Next article

You may also like


Comments are closed.

More in Opinion

The tourist wars hot up once more at Loch Ness because the homeowners of the Loch Ness Centre and Jacobite Cruises clash over the event of customer services solely 800m apart on the north a part of the shore. I say that as a result of, individuals can take a sceptical stance on subsets of proof for the Loch Ness Monster however nonetheless consider there is a large creature in the loch. I’m together with it because so many critics have raved about it and since, based on a number of people whose opinions I worth, it is nothing less than the best thing that’s ever been on Tv. That’s to not say there aren’t delights elsewhere. There are two positions in which to hold the goblet drum: either below one arm or between the knees. There are no medicine that can be utilized to boost your brain power like you your self can do with willpower. The CW this morning released some photographs from Emily Owens, M.D., which you’ll find beneath. You know that you may always walk which will take you a number of hours but the bicycle is a plus you happily settle for. You need to size up the whole lot you eat so that you know exactly learn how to proceed with making adjustments. Following a working system will jump-start your website, assist you to take care of focus and most importantly avoid you making costly mistakes. So, it is extremely attainable that new characters will emerge in Season Two. Third most important difference is about the characters that actor plays. It seems Maurice Burton’s conclusions have been remaining and it was obvious to him that nothing was to be gained by letting the « believers » anyplace close to the evidence. Letting an outside company take care of your shredding wants will afford your workplace staff adequate time to do different helpful work. Vinyl look-alikes are very good prospects for bogs and kitchens, conservatories and utility rooms, at the identical time as for major residing areas. The words are usually not supplied as opinion or labelled probable however are given as an announcement – they have been four legged footprints. I wanted a digital camera that offered respectable motion detection, pixel quality, SD card reminiscence, battery life and night time IR images however at the identical time wouldn’t be a hit on funds if stolen. Even when the paint is peeling, go ahead and power clean that problem before endeavor the primary and paint procedure one other time. The same process is made out in the sphere. WGNA is not essentially getting out of the unique scripted enterprise although it clearly won’t be doing excessive-end dramas like Underground anymore. The wonderful craftsmanship of excessive-end gold jewellery provides worth to the precise gold content, making this a fascinating investment. Gerard Miller appeared in final year’s Blade Runner: 2049, making an web brief the place he came off worse in opposition to Dave Bautista. If that wall was hiding electrical wiring, you could end up making an enormous mess if you were careless. Because the moneylender does not request any collateral, a brilliant credit score ranking is frequently wanted to conserving in mind the tip aim to be affirmed. Richard is at all times on the verge of a nervous breakdown, but the fun of season 5 is seeing what he appears to be like like in boss mode. But, after all, the remainder of a seal does not usually seem like what adopted. These two areas incorporate broad number of animals in order that the youngsters have information as well as get entertained by them. It was robust but it surely was well value it. Lastly, some new interns have arrived to Sacred Coronary heart, chief among them being Keith Dudemeister (Travis Schuldt) who quickly turns into Elliot’s new boyfriend, a lot to J.D.’s dissatisfaction. The following morning, although, Laura woke feeling queasy and with a blurred memory of being sexually assaulted. Due to this fact, you will have to pledge your house, car, or another collectibles, as safety against the borrowed amount. Have a basic understanding of grams and pennyweight measurements when selling your gold. On Modern Family Season 7 Episode 11, Claire and the children attempt to get the ducks to go away the nest whereas Phil’s away and Jay helps Mitch with Lily’s sleepover. It is sweet, however not the good rough texture that I used to be able to get. Print article Report Add New Comment Create Your individual Internet Web page – Don’t get Misplaced in the « Web » Jungle – Instead Follow the Leaders! It’s an issue that pervades many Nessie photos and might forestall additional progress on whether the picture is the genuine article or something else. Corporations that may realize fast registration and regulatory approval in Asia will gain a big competitive advantage. I’m a crochet and knitting blogger, designer, podcaster, and instructor. One thing’s for certain. Onions are used usually so as to add flavoring to your meal, but in addition was used as a therapeutic property. Are you aware,’ he said ‘that the month is August? Whether or not you are looking for visually-stunning photographs on your subsequent advertising marketing campaign or eye-catching photos in your webpage or product brochures, weve got what you need for very low prices. Bellisario additionally disclosed a serious affect on her portrayal of latest character Alex Drake: punk rocker Sid Vicious. Neither do I presume there have to be a large, unidentified animal in a physique of water simply because a distant blob is snapped from somebody’s cell phone camera. The camera was an iPhone 6 and she was the only person current.